Euro High Yield Spreads Are on Par With the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield
Sources: BofA Merrill Lynch, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, as of 11/8/17.
The financial crisis that occurred a decade ago continues to impact markets. Some distortions across both equity and bond markets have warranted new or different approaches to investing. Ultra-low interest rates across developed markets have spurred investors to expand their horizon for newer — and riskier — sources of income investments.
In the bond market, that thirst for yield may be exposing some investors to excessive credit risk. One sign of this: the interest rates on euro-zone high-yield bonds have fallen to the point where they are on par with the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, which is traditionally considered a “risk-free” rate due to the U.S. government’s high credit quality. While rates on U.S. high-yield bonds are higher than Treasuries, the low level of euro high yields does raise concerns that investors might be reaching too far out on the risk spectrum for income. Searching for yield and taking on excess risk for such little reward could leave investors exposed and unprepared for a more difficult financial market.
Selecting fixed income investments based on in-depth research and appropriate risk evaluation will likely be key to preserving capital during a market downturn.
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